Regardless of how many times it happens, I’ll never learn.
A player, in this case San Diego’s Danny Woodhead, goes four or five weeks with absolutely no fantasy production, I finally decide to publicly shame him with a ”sit” in my illustrious fantasy column, and he has the game of a lifetime, or more specifically, scores four touchdowns.
Due to some last-second substitutions brought on by four hours of regurgitated pre-game analysis, that decision cost me dearly in Week 15 on both the daily circuit, and in a few of my season-long leagues.
And to make matters much, much worse, I also shunned Denver’s Emmanuel Sanders after watching his production evaporate during the first few weeks of Brock Osweiler’s reign.
Ultimately, this matters because the decisions to bench both Woodhead and Sanders were only made after I was inspired to take a long look at what they’ve done throughout the season, and more importantly, during the last few weeks. Yet, despite doing some relatively thorough research, I still got burned.
Which, finally, brings me to the point of my holiday ramblings.
Right or wrong, had this happened earlier in the season I’d immediately question my approach to lineup building, start doubting my instincts, and over-think every single lineup-related decision for at least a few weeks.
But with only two weeks remaining in the regular season, there’s no time to mess with the method to your daily fantasy madness. Unless you’re new at this,, your instincts have led you to the winner’s circle more often than you can remember, and whatever strategy has kept you coming back week after week is the one you should use for the last two weeks of the current campaign.
So forget any painful mistakes from your recent fantasy football past, and don’t waste a second chasing down analysis that you yourself could provide. It’s time to stick to your guns, and it’s time to get paid.
NFL Week 16 DFS-FanDuel/DraftKings projections
Cam Newton-at Atlanta-[9,300-7,500] Ben Rothlisberger-at Baltimore-[8,900-6,800] Blake Bortles-at New Orleans-[8,200-6,500] Reach Of The Week-Ryan Fitzpatrick-vs New England-[7,700-5,200]
Aaron Rodgers-at Arizona-[8,500-7,000] Matt Ryan-vs Carolina-[6,800-5,200] Jay Cutler-at Tampa Bay-[6,900-5,200]
Adrian Peterson-vs N.Y.Giants-[8,200-7,300] Doug Martin-vs Chicago-[8,100-6,600] Charcandrick West-vs Cleveland-[6,700-5,700] Reach Of The Week-Karlos Williams-vs Dallas-[5,400-4,500]
Chris Ivory-vs New England-[6,900-4,700] Javorius Allen-vs Pittsburgh-[5,800-4,200] Jeremy Hill-at Denver-[6,100-4,900]
Antonio Brown-at Baltimore-[9,300-9,300] Allen Robinson-at New Orleans-[8,400-7,500] Golden Tate-vs San Francisco-[6,700-5,800] Reach Of The Week-Stephon Diggs-vs N.Y.Giants-[6,000-4,400]
Donte Moncrief-at Miami-[6,300-4,300] Danny Amendola-at N.Y. Jets-[6,500-5,600] Randall Cobb-at Arizona-[6,800-6,100]
Benjamin Watson-vs Jacksonville-[5,600-5,300] Julius Thomas-at New Orleans-[6,500-6,100] Reach Of The Week-Will Tye-at Minnesota-[5,100-3,500]
Jason Witten-at Buffalo-[5,500-3,900] Travis Kelce-vs Cleveland-[6,100-4,300]
Kansas City-vs Cleveland-[5,400-4,200] Pittsburgh-at Baltimore-[4,800-3,100] Reach Of The Week-Houston-at Tennessee-[5,000-2,800]
N.Y. Jets-vs New England-[4,500-2,800] Cincinnati-at Denver-[4,800-3,600]